Should I Start TreVeyon Henderson or Tyler Allgeier in Week 4?

TreVeyon Henderson is projected for 9.3 points. Most weeks he lands between 2.3 and 16.9. This week he plays vs LV; the game total is 45.0 and his team is favored by 3.5. The number is built from live market data across 9 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 43.9 rushing yards (+4.4), 0.5 touchdowns (+2.9), 11.3 receiving yards (+1.1), 1.6 catches (+0.8). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 7.3 points and scored 3.4.

Tyler Allgeier is projected for 10.0 points. Most weeks he lands between 2.5 and 17.8. This week he plays vs DET; the game total is 54.3 and his team is a 4.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 7 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 0.7 touchdowns (+4.1), 30.2 rushing yards (+3.0), 15.4 receiving yards (+1.5), 2.8 catches (+1.4). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 6.7 points and scored 2.9.

Tyler Allgeier is the slight lean. He projects for 10.0 points this week against 9.3 for TreVeyon Henderson. His chance of outscoring TreVeyon Henderson is 55%. Their ranges overlap — Tyler Allgeier usually lands between 2.5 and 17.8, TreVeyon Henderson between 2.3 and 16.9 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 5 at 7:41 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.