Should I Start Tony Pollard or TreVeyon Henderson in Week 4?

Tony Pollard is projected for 9.4 points. Most weeks he lands between 2.4 and 16.6. This week he plays vs HOU; the game total is 39.5 and his team is a 7.0-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 7 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 47.7 rushing yards (+4.8), 0.5 touchdowns (+2.8), 10.4 receiving yards (+1.0), 1.7 catches (+0.8). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 9.4 points and scored 11.6.

TreVeyon Henderson is projected for 9.3 points. Most weeks he lands between 2.3 and 16.9. This week he plays vs LV; the game total is 45.0 and his team is favored by 3.5. The number is built from live market data across 9 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 43.9 rushing yards (+4.4), 0.5 touchdowns (+2.9), 11.3 receiving yards (+1.1), 1.6 catches (+0.8). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 7.3 points and scored 3.4.

It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 9.4 points this week against 9.3 for TreVeyon Henderson. His chance of outscoring TreVeyon Henderson is 52%. Their ranges overlap — Tony Pollard usually lands between 2.4 and 16.6, TreVeyon Henderson between 2.3 and 16.9 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 5 at 7:41 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.