Should I Start Seth McGowan or Tyler Goodson in Week 7?

Seth McGowan is projected for 3.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.3 and 7.4. This week he plays at JAX; the game total is 46.5 and his team is a 7.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 0.3 touchdowns (+1.5), 13.2 rushing yards (+1.3), 4.0 receiving yards (+0.4), 0.5 catches (+0.3). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 2.1 points and scored 2.7.

Tyler Goodson is projected for 3.6 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.6 and 7.5. This week he plays vs ARI; the game total is 53.5 and his team is favored by 6.5. The number is built from live market data across 1 book, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 17.1 rushing yards (+1.7), 0.2 touchdowns (+0.9), 5.9 receiving yards (+0.6), 0.8 catches (+0.4). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 1.3 points and scored 1.4.

It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 3.6 points this week against 3.5 for Seth McGowan. His chance of outscoring Seth McGowan is 63%. Their ranges overlap — Tyler Goodson usually lands between 0.6 and 7.5, Seth McGowan between 0.3 and 7.4 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.