Should I Start Roman Wilson or Tyquan Thornton in Week 4?

Roman Wilson is projected for 3.9 points, 79th among wide receivers this week. Most weeks he lands between 0.0 and 8.4. This week he plays at CLE; the game total is 38.0 and his team is favored by 3.0. The number is built from live market data across 16 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 20.5 receiving yards (+2.1), 2.2 catches (+1.1), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.7). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 3.7 points and scored 13.5.

Tyquan Thornton is projected for 3.7 points, 84th among wide receivers this week. Most weeks he lands between 0.0 and 7.5. This week he plays at LV; the game total is 47.5 and his team is favored by 4.5. The number is built from live market data across 16 books, in half-PPR scoring, and the lines have moved since they opened. How it adds up: 21.5 receiving yards (+2.2), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.8), 1.5 catches (+0.7). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 2.5 points and scored 3.2.

It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 3.9 points this week against 3.7 for Tyquan Thornton. His chance of outscoring Tyquan Thornton is 59%. Their ranges overlap — Roman Wilson usually lands between 0.0 and 8.4, Tyquan Thornton between 0.0 and 7.5 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Friday, October 2 at 7:41 AM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.