Should I Start Rico Dowdle or TreVeyon Henderson in Week 7?

Rico Dowdle is projected for 7.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 1.9 and 13.7. This week he plays vs CLE; the game total is 39.5 and his team is favored by 3.5. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 29.5 rushing yards (+3.0), 0.4 touchdowns (+2.5), 11.6 receiving yards (+1.2), 1.8 catches (+0.9). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 4.0 points and scored 6.4.

TreVeyon Henderson is projected for 6.3 points. Most weeks he lands between 1.6 and 12.3. This week he plays at MIA; the game total is 44.5 and his team is favored by 7.5. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 28.4 rushing yards (+2.8), 0.4 touchdowns (+2.2), 1.3 catches (+0.7), 6.2 receiving yards (+0.6). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 5.4 points and scored 4.5.

Rico Dowdle is the slight lean. He projects for 7.5 points this week against 6.3 for TreVeyon Henderson. His chance of outscoring TreVeyon Henderson is 57%. Their ranges overlap — Rico Dowdle usually lands between 1.9 and 13.7, TreVeyon Henderson between 1.6 and 12.3 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.