Should I Start Rico Dowdle or Ryan Flournoy in Week 7?

Rico Dowdle is projected for 7.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 1.9 and 13.7. This week he plays vs CLE; the game total is 39.5 and his team is favored by 3.5. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 29.5 rushing yards (+3.0), 0.4 touchdowns (+2.5), 11.6 receiving yards (+1.2), 1.8 catches (+0.9). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 4.0 points and scored 6.4.

Ryan Flournoy is projected for 7.3 points. Most weeks he lands between 1.8 and 12.6. This week he plays vs ARI; the game total is 53.5 and his team is favored by 6.5. The number is built from live market data across 1 book, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 40.6 receiving yards (+4.1), 3.2 catches (+1.6), 0.3 touchdowns (+1.6). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 5.6 points and scored 13.5.

It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 7.5 points this week against 7.3 for Ryan Flournoy. His chance of outscoring Ryan Flournoy is 50%. Their ranges overlap — Rico Dowdle usually lands between 1.9 and 13.7, Ryan Flournoy between 1.8 and 12.6 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.