Should I Start Patrick Mahomes or Tyler Shough in Week 7?

Patrick Mahomes is projected for 15.9 points. Most weeks he lands between 6.0 and 25.2. This week he plays at DEN; the game total is 41.0 and his team is favored by 1.5. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 224.6 passing yards (+9.0), 1.2 passing touchdowns (+4.9), 18.2 rushing yards (+1.8), 0.2 touchdowns (+1.0), 0.4 interceptions (−0.8). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 15.9 points and scored 10.5.

Tyler Shough is projected for 14.9 points. Most weeks he lands between 6.4 and 24.9. This week he plays vs PIT. The number is built from live market data, in half-PPR scoring. How it adds up: 219.5 passing yards (+8.8), 1.3 passing touchdowns (+5.2), 0.8 interceptions (−1.6), 14.5 rushing yards (+1.5), 0.2 touchdowns (+1.1). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 15.1 points and scored 27.0.

Patrick Mahomes is the slight lean. He projects for 15.9 points this week against 14.9 for Tyler Shough. Their ranges overlap — Patrick Mahomes usually lands between 6.0 and 25.2, Tyler Shough between 6.4 and 24.9 — so either can win the week.

Week 7MahomesShough
Projection15.914.9
Floor · ceiling6.0 · 25.26.4 · 24.9
Rank at position——
StatusHealthyHealthy

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.