Should I Start Nick Folk or Wil Lutz in Week 7?

Nick Folk is projected for 7.2 points. Most weeks he lands between 3.2 and 11.4. This week he plays at TB; the game total is 46.5 and his team is a 2.0-point underdog. No book has posted a line on him yet, so this is our own projection from his role and Sleeper’s numbers. How it adds up: 7.2 points kicked (+7.2).

Wil Lutz is projected for 7.0 points. Most weeks he lands between 3.2 and 11.0. This week he plays vs KC; the game total is 41.0 and his team is a 1.5-point underdog. No book has posted a line on him yet, so this is our own projection from his role and Sleeper’s numbers. How it adds up: 7.0 points kicked (+7.0).

It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 7.2 points this week against 7.0 for Wil Lutz. His chance of outscoring Wil Lutz is 50%. Their ranges overlap — Nick Folk usually lands between 3.2 and 11.4, Wil Lutz between 3.2 and 11.0 — so either can win the week.

Week 7FolkLutz
Projection7.27.0
Floor · ceiling3.2 · 11.43.2 · 11.0
Rank at position——
StatusHealthyHealthy

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.