Should I Start MarShawn Lloyd or Mike Washington Jr. in Week 7?

MarShawn Lloyd is projected for 5.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.9 and 11.4. This week he plays vs CAR; the game total is 48.0 and his team is favored by 3.5. The number is built from live market data across 15 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and the lines have moved since they opened. How it adds up: 0.4 touchdowns (+2.6), 18.5 rushing yards (+1.9), 5.2 receiving yards (+0.5), 0.9 catches (+0.4). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 10.3 points and scored 1.0.

Mike Washington Jr. is projected for 5.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.9 and 10.4. This week he plays at NYJ; the game total is 45.5 and his team is a 0.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 28.4 rushing yards (+2.8), 0.3 touchdowns (+1.7), 5.8 receiving yards (+0.6), 0.7 catches (+0.4). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 1.8 points and scored 5.5.

It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 5.5 points this week against 5.5 for Mike Washington Jr.. His chance of outscoring Mike Washington Jr. is 52%. Their ranges overlap — MarShawn Lloyd usually lands between 0.9 and 11.4, Mike Washington Jr. between 0.9 and 10.4 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:20 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.