Should I Start Malik Willis or Sam Darnold in Week 7?

Malik Willis is projected for 13.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 5.5 and 21.5. This week he plays vs NE; the game total is 44.5 and his team is a 7.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 8 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 186.3 passing yards (+7.5), 32.8 rushing yards (+3.3), 0.5 passing touchdowns (+2.1), 0.3 touchdowns (+1.6), 0.4 interceptions (−0.9).

Sam Darnold is projected for 14.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 3.4 and 23.7. This week he plays vs CHI; the game total is 46.5 and his team is favored by 3.0. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 246.3 passing yards (+9.9), 1.4 passing touchdowns (+5.7), 1.3 interceptions (−2.7), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.8), 7.7 rushing yards (+0.8). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 13.0 points and scored 9.0.

Sam Darnold is the slight lean. He projects for 14.5 points this week against 13.5 for Malik Willis. His chance of outscoring Malik Willis is 55%. Their ranges overlap — Sam Darnold usually lands between 3.4 and 23.7, Malik Willis between 5.5 and 21.5 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.