Should I Start Malik Willis or Michael Penix Jr. in Week 7?

Malik Willis is projected for 13.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 5.5 and 21.5. This week he plays vs NE; the game total is 44.5 and his team is a 7.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 8 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 186.3 passing yards (+7.5), 32.8 rushing yards (+3.3), 0.5 passing touchdowns (+2.1), 0.3 touchdowns (+1.6), 0.4 interceptions (−0.9).

Michael Penix Jr. is projected for 14.4 points. Most weeks he lands between 4.9 and 23.3. This week he plays at TB; the game total is 46.5 and his team is a 2.0-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 226.6 passing yards (+9.1), 1.4 passing touchdowns (+5.4), 0.5 interceptions (−1.0), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.7), 3.4 rushing yards (+0.3). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 14.2 points and scored 21.1.

Michael Penix Jr. is the slight lean. He projects for 14.4 points this week against 13.5 for Malik Willis. His chance of outscoring Malik Willis is 54%. Their ranges overlap — Michael Penix Jr. usually lands between 4.9 and 23.3, Malik Willis between 5.5 and 21.5 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.