Should I Start Luke Farrell or Nate Adkins in Week 4?

Luke Farrell is projected for 1.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.0 and 1.6. This week he plays at SEA; the game total is 47.0 and his team is a 3.0-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 10 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 7.1 receiving yards (+0.7), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.4), 0.8 catches (+0.4). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 1.0 points and scored 0.0.

Nate Adkins is projected for 1.7 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.0 and 2.1. This week he plays at LAC; the game total is 42.5 and his team is favored by 3.5. The number is built from live market data across 1 book, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 0.1 touchdowns (+0.7), 6.3 receiving yards (+0.6), 0.6 catches (+0.3). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 0.3 points and scored 7.3.

It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 1.7 points this week against 1.5 for Luke Farrell. His chance of outscoring Luke Farrell is 49%. Their ranges overlap — Nate Adkins usually lands between 0.0 and 2.1, Luke Farrell between 0.0 and 1.6 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 5 at 8:21 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.