Should I Start Kyle Pitts Sr. or Rico Dowdle in Week 7?

Kyle Pitts Sr. is projected for 6.9 points. Most weeks he lands between 1.7 and 12.1. This week he plays at TB; the game total is 46.5 and his team is a 2.0-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 8 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 36.4 receiving yards (+3.6), 0.3 touchdowns (+1.8), 2.9 catches (+1.4). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 5.0 points and scored 20.5.

Rico Dowdle is projected for 7.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 1.9 and 13.7. This week he plays vs CLE; the game total is 39.5 and his team is favored by 3.5. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 29.5 rushing yards (+3.0), 0.4 touchdowns (+2.5), 11.6 receiving yards (+1.2), 1.8 catches (+0.9). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 4.0 points and scored 6.4.

Rico Dowdle is the slight lean. He projects for 7.5 points this week against 6.9 for Kyle Pitts Sr.. His chance of outscoring Kyle Pitts Sr. is 53%. Their ranges overlap — Rico Dowdle usually lands between 1.9 and 13.7, Kyle Pitts Sr. between 1.7 and 12.1 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.