Should I Start KC Concepcion Jr. or T.J. Hockenson in Week 7?

KC Concepcion Jr. is projected for 8.2 points. Most weeks he lands between 2.5 and 14.8. This week he plays at PIT; the game total is 39.5 and his team is a 3.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 8 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 43.5 receiving yards (+4.3), 3.7 catches (+1.8), 0.3 touchdowns (+1.7), 2.5 rushing yards (+0.3). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 7.0 points and scored 5.9.

T.J. Hockenson is projected for 8.4 points. Most weeks he lands between 2.4 and 15.4. This week he plays at DET; the game total is 46.0 and his team is a 3.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 9 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 39.3 receiving yards (+3.9), 4.6 catches (+2.3), 0.4 touchdowns (+2.2).

It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 8.4 points this week against 8.2 for KC Concepcion Jr.. His chance of outscoring KC Concepcion Jr. is 53%. Their ranges overlap — T.J. Hockenson usually lands between 2.4 and 15.4, KC Concepcion Jr. between 2.5 and 14.8 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.