Should I Start Kaytron Allen or MarShawn Lloyd in Week 7?

Kaytron Allen is projected for 2.8 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.2 and 7.0. This week he plays vs NE; the game total is 44.5 and his team is a 7.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 0.3 touchdowns (+2.0), 6.7 rushing yards (+0.7).

MarShawn Lloyd is projected for 5.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.9 and 11.4. This week he plays vs CAR; the game total is 48.0 and his team is favored by 3.5. The number is built from live market data across 16 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and the lines have moved since they opened. How it adds up: 0.4 touchdowns (+2.6), 18.5 rushing yards (+1.9), 5.2 receiving yards (+0.5), 0.9 catches (+0.4). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 10.3 points and scored 1.0.

MarShawn Lloyd is the lean. He projects for 5.5 points this week against 2.8 for Kaytron Allen. His chance of outscoring Kaytron Allen is 76%. Their ranges overlap — MarShawn Lloyd usually lands between 0.9 and 11.4, Kaytron Allen between 0.2 and 7.0 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.