Should I Start Kaelon Black or MarShawn Lloyd in Week 7?
Kaelon Black is projected for 5.6 points. Most weeks he lands between 1.2 and 11.7. This week he plays vs ATL. The number is built from live market data, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring. How it adds up: 28.5 rushing yards (+2.9), 0.3 touchdowns (+1.7), 8.0 receiving yards (+0.8), 0.6 catches (+0.3). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 3.4 points and did not play.
MarShawn Lloyd is projected for 5.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.9 and 11.4. This week he plays vs CAR; the game total is 48.0 and his team is favored by 3.5. The number is built from live market data across 16 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and the lines have moved since they opened. How it adds up: 0.4 touchdowns (+2.6), 18.5 rushing yards (+1.9), 5.2 receiving yards (+0.5), 0.9 catches (+0.4). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 10.3 points and scored 1.0.
It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 5.6 points this week against 5.5 for MarShawn Lloyd. Their ranges overlap — Kaelon Black usually lands between 1.2 and 11.7, MarShawn Lloyd between 0.9 and 11.4 — so either can win the week.
| Week 7 | Black | Lloyd |
|---|---|---|
| Projection | 5.6 | 5.5 |
| Floor · ceiling | 1.2 · 11.7 | 0.9 · 11.4 |
| Rank at position | — | — |
| Status | Healthy | Healthy |
Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.