Should I Start Kaelon Black or Laquon Treadwell in Week 4?

Kaelon Black is projected for 3.6 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.5 and 8.2. This week he plays at SEA; the game total is 47.0 and his team is a 3.0-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 10 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 0.3 touchdowns (+1.6), 14.5 rushing yards (+1.5), 3.5 receiving yards (+0.3). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 4.1 points and scored 1.7.

Laquon Treadwell is projected for 2.7 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.0 and 7.1. This week he plays at PIT; the game total is 44.5 and his team is a 2.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 1 book, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 11.7 receiving yards (+1.2), 0.2 touchdowns (+1.1), 0.9 catches (+0.5). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 2.8 points and scored 2.5.

Kaelon Black is the slight lean. He projects for 3.6 points this week against 2.7 for Laquon Treadwell. His chance of outscoring Laquon Treadwell is 64%. Their ranges overlap — Kaelon Black usually lands between 0.5 and 8.2, Laquon Treadwell between 0.0 and 7.1 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 5 at 7:41 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.