Justin Herbert vs Patrick Mahomes — Projections

Justin Herbert (QB, LAC) — Week 1 fantasy projection: 19.6 points

Most weeks he lands between 9.5 and 34.5 points. This week he plays ARI. The number is built from live market data across every book that prices him, in half-PPR scoring.

Patrick Mahomes (QB, KC) — Week 1 fantasy projection: 16.0 points

Most weeks he lands between 7.4 and 28.4 points. This week he plays DEN. He is listed as questionable — check his status before kickoff. The number is built from live market data across every book that prices him, in half-PPR scoring.

Who should you start? Justin Herbert projects higher this week at 19.6 points, 3.6 more than Patrick Mahomes. The full comparison below shows the chance each one outscores the other, in your league's scoring.