Should I Start Justin Herbert or Marcus Mariota in Week 4?

Justin Herbert is projected for 14.4 points. Most weeks he lands between 5.5 and 21.8. This week he plays vs DEN; the game total is 42.5 and his team is a 3.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 201.7 passing yards (+8.1), 1.1 passing touchdowns (+4.2), 21.1 rushing yards (+2.1), 0.5 interceptions (−1.0), 0.2 touchdowns (+1.0). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 15.1 points and scored 12.7.

Marcus Mariota is projected for 15.7 points. Most weeks he lands between 6.7 and 27.3. This week he plays vs IND. He is listed as out — check his status before kickoff. The number is built from live market data, in half-PPR scoring. How it adds up: 205.5 passing yards (+8.2), 1.3 passing touchdowns (+5.0), 26.5 rushing yards (+2.7), 0.7 interceptions (−1.4), 0.2 touchdowns (+1.2). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 11.5 points and scored 20.4.

Marcus Mariota is the slight lean. He projects for 15.7 points this week against 14.4 for Justin Herbert. Their ranges overlap — Marcus Mariota usually lands between 6.7 and 27.3, Justin Herbert between 5.5 and 21.8 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 5 at 6:11 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.