Should I Start Josh Downs or Tyler Allgeier in Week 7?

Josh Downs is projected for 7.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 2.4 and 13.8. This week he plays at JAX; the game total is 46.5 and his team is a 7.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 37.8 receiving yards (+3.8), 4.0 catches (+2.0), 0.3 touchdowns (+1.7). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 9.9 points and scored 6.7.

Tyler Allgeier is projected for 8.2 points. Most weeks he lands between 1.9 and 14.8. This week he plays at DAL; the game total is 53.5 and his team is a 6.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 1 book, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 0.5 touchdowns (+3.1), 19.8 rushing yards (+2.0), 17.0 receiving yards (+1.7), 2.9 catches (+1.4). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 9.8 points and scored 5.3.

Tyler Allgeier is the slight lean. He projects for 8.2 points this week against 7.5 for Josh Downs. His chance of outscoring Josh Downs is 48%. Their ranges overlap — Tyler Allgeier usually lands between 1.9 and 14.8, Josh Downs between 2.4 and 13.8 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.