Should I Start Josh Downs or Keenan Allen in Week 7?

Josh Downs is projected for 7.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 2.4 and 13.8. This week he plays at JAX; the game total is 46.5 and his team is a 7.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 37.8 receiving yards (+3.8), 4.0 catches (+2.0), 0.3 touchdowns (+1.7). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 9.9 points and scored 6.7.

Keenan Allen is projected for 7.1 points. Most weeks he lands between 2.1 and 12.3. This week he plays at JAX; the game total is 46.5 and his team is a 7.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 36.5 receiving yards (+3.6), 3.6 catches (+1.8), 0.3 touchdowns (+1.7). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 8.6 points and scored 12.2.

It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 7.5 points this week against 7.1 for Keenan Allen. His chance of outscoring Keenan Allen is 56%. Their ranges overlap — Josh Downs usually lands between 2.4 and 13.8, Keenan Allen between 2.1 and 12.3 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 7:50 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.