Should I Start Jonnu Smith or Seth McGowan in Week 7?

Jonnu Smith is projected for 2.4 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.1 and 6.2. This week he plays vs CAR; the game total is 48.0 and his team is favored by 3.5. The number is built from live market data across 15 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 9.0 receiving yards (+0.9), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.8), 0.9 catches (+0.4), 3.0 rushing yards (+0.3). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 0.9 points and scored 0.0.

Seth McGowan is projected for 3.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.3 and 7.4. This week he plays at JAX; the game total is 46.5 and his team is a 7.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 0.3 touchdowns (+1.5), 13.2 rushing yards (+1.3), 4.0 receiving yards (+0.4), 0.5 catches (+0.3). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 2.1 points and scored 2.7.

Seth McGowan is the slight lean. He projects for 3.5 points this week against 2.4 for Jonnu Smith. His chance of outscoring Jonnu Smith is 51%. Their ranges overlap — Seth McGowan usually lands between 0.3 and 7.4, Jonnu Smith between 0.1 and 6.2 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.