Should I Start Jonnu Smith or Luke Farrell in Week 4?

Jonnu Smith is projected for 3.3 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.4 and 7.1. This week he plays vs CHI; the game total is 44.5 and his team is a 2.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 3 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 15.5 receiving yards (+1.5), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.8), 1.4 catches (+0.7), 2.5 rushing yards (+0.3). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 1.7 points and scored 2.6.

Luke Farrell is projected for 1.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.0 and 1.6. This week he plays at SEA; the game total is 47.0 and his team is a 3.0-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 10 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 7.1 receiving yards (+0.7), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.4), 0.8 catches (+0.4). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 1.0 points and scored 0.0.

Jonnu Smith is the slight lean. He projects for 3.3 points this week against 1.5 for Luke Farrell. His chance of outscoring Luke Farrell is 80%. Their ranges overlap — Jonnu Smith usually lands between 0.4 and 7.1, Luke Farrell between 0.0 and 1.6 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 5 at 8:21 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.