Should I Start Jaylen Waddle or Luther Burden III in Week 7?

Jaylen Waddle is projected for 10.0 points. Most weeks he lands between 3.0 and 18.0. This week he plays vs KC; the game total is 41.0 and his team is a 1.5-point underdog. He is listed as questionable — check his status before kickoff. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 56.1 receiving yards (+5.6), 4.4 catches (+2.2), 0.4 touchdowns (+2.1). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 8.4 points and scored 4.4.

Luther Burden III is projected for 9.8 points. Most weeks he lands between 3.1 and 18.1. This week he plays at SEA; the game total is 46.5 and his team is a 3.0-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 7 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 53.0 receiving yards (+5.3), 4.4 catches (+2.2), 0.3 touchdowns (+2.0), 3.0 rushing yards (+0.3). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 9.4 points and scored 13.5.

It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 10.0 points this week against 9.8 for Luther Burden III. His chance of outscoring Luther Burden III is 51%. Their ranges overlap — Jaylen Waddle usually lands between 3.0 and 18.0, Luther Burden III between 3.1 and 18.1 — so either can win the week.

Week 7WaddleIII
Projection10.09.8
Floor · ceiling3.0 · 18.03.1 · 18.1
Rank at position——
StatusQuestionableHealthy

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.