Should I Start Jameis Winston or Michael Penix in Week 4?
Jameis Winston is projected for 12.4 points, 32nd among quarterbacks this week. Most weeks he lands between 2.9 and 24.1. This week he plays vs ARI; the game total is 44.5 and his team is a 2.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 17 books, in half-PPR scoring, and the lines have moved since they opened. How it adds up: 205.5 passing yards (+8.2), 1.2 passing touchdowns (+4.9), 0.9 interceptions (−1.7), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.5), 4.5 rushing yards (+0.5). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 11.1 points and scored 6.1.
Michael Penix is projected for 14.3 points, 25th among quarterbacks this week. Most weeks he lands between 4.6 and 25.8. This week he plays at NO; the game total is 47.5 and his team is a 2.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 16 books, in half-PPR scoring, and the lines have moved since they opened. How it adds up: 224.3 passing yards (+9.0), 1.4 passing touchdowns (+5.5), 0.7 interceptions (−1.3), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.6), 5.5 rushing yards (+0.6). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 11.3 points and scored 12.0.
Michael Penix is the slight lean. He projects for 14.3 points this week against 12.4 for Jameis Winston. His chance of outscoring Jameis Winston is 57%. Their ranges overlap — Michael Penix usually lands between 4.6 and 25.8, Jameis Winston between 2.9 and 24.1 — so either can win the week.
| Week 4 | Penix | Winston |
|---|---|---|
| Projection | 14.3 | 12.4 |
| Floor · ceiling | 4.6 · 25.8 | 2.9 · 24.1 |
| Rank at position | 25th | 32nd |
| Status | Healthy | Healthy |
Market data last pulled Friday, October 2 at 6:21 AM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.