Should I Start Jameis Winston or Kirk Cousins in Week 4?

Jameis Winston is projected for 12.4 points, 32nd among quarterbacks this week. Most weeks he lands between 2.9 and 24.1. This week he plays vs ARI; the game total is 44.5 and his team is a 2.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 17 books, in half-PPR scoring, and the lines have moved since they opened. How it adds up: 205.5 passing yards (+8.2), 1.2 passing touchdowns (+4.9), 0.9 interceptions (−1.7), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.5), 4.5 rushing yards (+0.5). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 11.1 points and scored 6.1.

Kirk Cousins is projected for 13.2 points, 30th among quarterbacks this week. Most weeks he lands between 4.8 and 22.5. This week he plays vs KC; the game total is 47.5 and his team is a 4.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 17 books, in half-PPR scoring, and the lines have moved since they opened. How it adds up: 223.3 passing yards (+8.9), 1.4 passing touchdowns (+5.7), 0.9 interceptions (−1.8), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.3). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 11.7 points and scored 22.2.

Kirk Cousins is the slight lean. He projects for 13.2 points this week against 12.4 for Jameis Winston. His chance of outscoring Jameis Winston is 51%. Their ranges overlap — Kirk Cousins usually lands between 4.8 and 22.5, Jameis Winston between 2.9 and 24.1 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Friday, October 2 at 6:21 AM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.