Should I Start Jalon Daniels or Tyson Bagent in Week 4?

Jalon Daniels is projected for 13.7 points, 28th among quarterbacks this week. Most weeks he lands between 5.4 and 24.4. This week he plays vs GB; the game total is 38.5 and his team is a 3.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 16 books, in half-PPR scoring, and the lines have moved since they opened. How it adds up: 173.4 passing yards (+6.9), 1.0 passing touchdowns (+3.8), 34.5 rushing yards (+3.5), 0.9 interceptions (−1.7), 0.2 touchdowns (+1.2).

Tyson Bagent is projected for 14.7 points, 23rd among quarterbacks this week. Most weeks he lands between 5.8 and 25.6. This week he plays vs NYJ; the game total is 43.0 and his team is favored by 3.3. The number is built from live market data across 16 books, in half-PPR scoring, and the lines have moved since they opened. How it adds up: 199.5 passing yards (+8.0), 1.4 passing touchdowns (+5.7), 14.0 rushing yards (+1.4), 0.7 interceptions (−1.3), 0.2 touchdowns (+0.9). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 1.6 points and did not play.

Tyson Bagent is the slight lean. He projects for 14.7 points this week against 13.7 for Jalon Daniels. His chance of outscoring Jalon Daniels is 51%. Their ranges overlap — Tyson Bagent usually lands between 5.8 and 25.6, Jalon Daniels between 5.4 and 24.4 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Friday, October 2 at 6:21 AM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.