Should I Start Jalon Daniels or Justin Herbert in Week 4?
Jalon Daniels is projected for 13.8 points, 28th among quarterbacks this week. Most weeks he lands between 4.6 and 26.1. This week he plays vs GB; the game total is 38.5 and his team is a 3.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 16 books, in half-PPR scoring, and the lines have moved since they opened. How it adds up: 173.3 passing yards (+6.9), 1.0 passing touchdowns (+3.9), 34.5 rushing yards (+3.5), 0.9 interceptions (−1.7), 0.2 touchdowns (+1.2).
Justin Herbert is projected for 13.9 points, 27th among quarterbacks this week. Most weeks he lands between 5.5 and 23.4. This week he plays at SEA; the game total is 42.5 and his team is a 7.0-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 17 books, in half-PPR scoring, and the lines have moved since they opened. How it adds up: 199.5 passing yards (+8.0), 1.1 passing touchdowns (+4.5), 21.2 rushing yards (+2.1), 0.8 interceptions (−1.5), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.8). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 15.1 points and scored 12.7.
It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 13.9 points this week against 13.8 for Jalon Daniels. His chance of outscoring Jalon Daniels is 50%. Their ranges overlap — Justin Herbert usually lands between 5.5 and 23.4, Jalon Daniels between 4.6 and 26.1 — so either can win the week.
| Week 4 | Herbert | Daniels |
|---|---|---|
| Projection | 13.9 | 13.8 |
| Floor · ceiling | 5.5 · 23.4 | 4.6 · 26.1 |
| Rank at position | 27th | 28th |
| Status | Healthy | Healthy |
Market data last pulled Friday, October 2 at 4:21 AM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.