Should I Start Gunnar Helm or Roman Wilson in Week 4?

Gunnar Helm is projected for 4.1 points, 32nd among tight ends this week. Most weeks he lands between 0.0 and 8.4. This week he plays at BAL; the game total is 42.5 and his team is a 11.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 17 books, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 18.5 receiving yards (+1.9), 2.7 catches (+1.4), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.8). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 3.6 points and scored 2.4.

Roman Wilson is projected for 3.9 points, 79th among wide receivers this week. Most weeks he lands between 0.0 and 8.4. This week he plays at CLE; the game total is 38.0 and his team is favored by 3.0. The number is built from live market data across 16 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 20.5 receiving yards (+2.1), 2.2 catches (+1.1), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.7). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 3.7 points and scored 13.5.

It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 4.1 points this week against 3.9 for Roman Wilson. His chance of outscoring Roman Wilson is 51%. Their ranges overlap — Gunnar Helm usually lands between 0.0 and 8.4, Roman Wilson between 0.0 and 8.4 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Friday, October 2 at 7:41 AM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.