Should I Start Gunnar Helm or Laquon Treadwell in Week 4?

Gunnar Helm is projected for 4.2 points. Most weeks he lands between 1.1 and 8.4. This week he plays vs HOU; the game total is 39.5 and his team is a 7.0-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 18.2 receiving yards (+1.8), 2.8 catches (+1.4), 0.2 touchdowns (+1.0). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 3.6 points and scored 2.4.

Laquon Treadwell is projected for 2.7 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.0 and 7.1. This week he plays at PIT; the game total is 44.5 and his team is a 2.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 1 book, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 11.7 receiving yards (+1.2), 0.2 touchdowns (+1.1), 0.9 catches (+0.5). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 2.8 points and scored 2.5.

Gunnar Helm is the slight lean. He projects for 4.2 points this week against 2.7 for Laquon Treadwell. His chance of outscoring Laquon Treadwell is 76%. Their ranges overlap — Gunnar Helm usually lands between 1.1 and 8.4, Laquon Treadwell between 0.0 and 7.1 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 5 at 7:41 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.