Should I Start Germie Bernard or Luther Burden III in Week 7?

Germie Bernard is projected for 9.6 points. Most weeks he lands between 2.6 and 16.4. This week he plays vs CLE; the game total is 39.5 and his team is favored by 3.5. The number is built from live market data across 8 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 48.2 receiving yards (+4.8), 0.5 touchdowns (+2.8), 3.9 catches (+2.0). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 8.5 points and scored 20.2.

Luther Burden III is projected for 9.8 points. Most weeks he lands between 3.1 and 18.1. This week he plays at SEA; the game total is 46.5 and his team is a 3.0-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 7 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 53.0 receiving yards (+5.3), 4.4 catches (+2.2), 0.3 touchdowns (+2.0), 3.0 rushing yards (+0.3). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 9.4 points and scored 13.5.

It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 9.8 points this week against 9.6 for Germie Bernard. His chance of outscoring Germie Bernard is 53%. Their ranges overlap — Luther Burden III usually lands between 3.1 and 18.1, Germie Bernard between 2.6 and 16.4 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.