Should I Start George Pickens or Zay Flowers in Week 7?

George Pickens is projected for 12.6 points. Most weeks he lands between 3.9 and 22.6. This week he plays vs ARI; the game total is 53.5 and his team is favored by 6.5. The number is built from live market data across 1 book, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 74.8 receiving yards (+7.5), 0.5 touchdowns (+2.8), 4.6 catches (+2.3). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 12.0 points and scored 10.3.

Zay Flowers is projected for 13.4 points. Most weeks he lands between 4.2 and 23.8. This week he plays at BUF; the game total is 53.5 and his team is a 3.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 8 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 76.2 receiving yards (+7.6), 0.5 touchdowns (+2.9), 5.6 catches (+2.8). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 10.2 points and scored 9.7.

Zay Flowers is the slight lean. He projects for 13.4 points this week against 12.6 for George Pickens. His chance of outscoring George Pickens is 55%. Their ranges overlap — Zay Flowers usually lands between 4.2 and 23.8, George Pickens between 3.9 and 22.6 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.