Should I Start George Pickens or Luther Burden III in Week 7?

George Pickens is projected for 12.6 points. Most weeks he lands between 3.9 and 22.6. This week he plays vs ARI; the game total is 53.5 and his team is favored by 6.5. The number is built from live market data across 1 book, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 74.8 receiving yards (+7.5), 0.5 touchdowns (+2.8), 4.6 catches (+2.3). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 12.0 points and scored 10.3.

Luther Burden III is projected for 9.8 points. Most weeks he lands between 3.1 and 18.1. This week he plays at SEA; the game total is 46.5 and his team is a 3.0-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 7 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 53.0 receiving yards (+5.3), 4.4 catches (+2.2), 0.3 touchdowns (+2.0), 3.0 rushing yards (+0.3). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 9.4 points and scored 13.5.

George Pickens is the lean. He projects for 12.6 points this week against 9.8 for Luther Burden III. His chance of outscoring Luther Burden III is 60%. Their ranges overlap — George Pickens usually lands between 3.9 and 22.6, Luther Burden III between 3.1 and 18.1 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.