Should I Start Geno Smith or Marcus Mariota in Week 4?
Geno Smith is projected for 14.1 points. Most weeks he lands between 3.3 and 22.1. This week he plays vs CLE; the game total is 40.0 and his team is favored by 2.0. No book has posted a line on him yet, so this is our own projection from his role and Sleeper’s numbers. How it adds up: 212.5 passing yards (+8.5), 1.3 passing touchdowns (+5.0), 0.6 interceptions (−1.2), 11.5 rushing yards (+1.2), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.6). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 13.9 points and scored 26.0.
Marcus Mariota is projected for 15.7 points. Most weeks he lands between 6.7 and 27.3. This week he plays vs IND. He is listed as out — check his status before kickoff. The number is built from live market data, in half-PPR scoring. How it adds up: 205.5 passing yards (+8.2), 1.3 passing touchdowns (+5.0), 26.5 rushing yards (+2.7), 0.7 interceptions (−1.4), 0.2 touchdowns (+1.2). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 11.5 points and scored 20.4.
Marcus Mariota is the slight lean. He projects for 15.7 points this week against 14.1 for Geno Smith. Their ranges overlap — Marcus Mariota usually lands between 6.7 and 27.3, Geno Smith between 3.3 and 22.1 — so either can win the week.
| Week 4 | Mariota | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Projection | 15.7 | 14.1 |
| Floor · ceiling | 6.7 · 27.3 | 3.3 · 22.1 |
| Rank at position | — | — |
| Status | Out | Healthy |
Market data last pulled Monday, October 5 at 8:21 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.