Should I Start Geno Smith or Malik Willis in Week 7?

Geno Smith is projected for 15.7 points. Most weeks he lands between 5.4 and 25.6. This week he plays vs LV; the game total is 45.5 and his team is favored by 0.5. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 224.7 passing yards (+9.0), 1.6 passing touchdowns (+6.3), 0.5 interceptions (−1.0), 8.5 rushing yards (+0.8), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.6). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 12.3 points and scored 12.0.

Malik Willis is projected for 13.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 5.5 and 21.5. This week he plays vs NE; the game total is 44.5 and his team is a 7.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 8 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 186.3 passing yards (+7.5), 32.8 rushing yards (+3.3), 0.5 passing touchdowns (+2.1), 0.3 touchdowns (+1.6), 0.4 interceptions (−0.9).

Geno Smith is the lean. He projects for 15.7 points this week against 13.5 for Malik Willis. His chance of outscoring Malik Willis is 58%. Their ranges overlap — Geno Smith usually lands between 5.4 and 25.6, Malik Willis between 5.5 and 21.5 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.