Should I Start Geno Smith or Kirk Cousins in Week 7?

Geno Smith is projected for 15.7 points. Most weeks he lands between 5.4 and 25.6. This week he plays vs LV; the game total is 45.5 and his team is favored by 0.5. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 224.7 passing yards (+9.0), 1.6 passing touchdowns (+6.3), 0.5 interceptions (−1.0), 8.5 rushing yards (+0.8), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.6). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 12.3 points and scored 12.0.

Kirk Cousins is projected for 15.3 points. Most weeks he lands between 5.6 and 24.6. This week he plays at NYJ; the game total is 45.5 and his team is a 0.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 232.3 passing yards (+9.3), 1.5 passing touchdowns (+6.2), 0.4 interceptions (−0.8), 3.4 rushing yards (+0.3), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.3). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 15.9 points and scored 18.5.

It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 15.7 points this week against 15.3 for Kirk Cousins. His chance of outscoring Kirk Cousins is 50%. Their ranges overlap — Geno Smith usually lands between 5.4 and 25.6, Kirk Cousins between 5.6 and 24.6 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.