Should I Start Geno Smith or Jalon Daniels in Week 4?

Geno Smith is projected for 14.3 points, 25th among quarterbacks this week. Most weeks he lands between 6.0 and 22.7. This week he plays at CHI; the game total is 43.0 and his team is a 3.3-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 16 books, in half-PPR scoring, and the lines have moved since they opened. How it adds up: 227.5 passing yards (+9.1), 1.3 passing touchdowns (+5.0), 0.8 interceptions (−1.6), 11.5 rushing yards (+1.2), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.6). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 13.9 points and scored 26.0.

Jalon Daniels is projected for 13.7 points, 27th among quarterbacks this week. Most weeks he lands between 5.4 and 24.4. This week he plays vs GB; the game total is 38.5 and his team is a 3.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 16 books, in half-PPR scoring, and the lines have moved since they opened. How it adds up: 173.4 passing yards (+6.9), 1.0 passing touchdowns (+3.8), 34.5 rushing yards (+3.5), 0.9 interceptions (−1.7), 0.2 touchdowns (+1.2).

Geno Smith is the slight lean. He projects for 14.3 points this week against 13.7 for Jalon Daniels. His chance of outscoring Jalon Daniels is 52%. Their ranges overlap — Geno Smith usually lands between 6.0 and 22.7, Jalon Daniels between 5.4 and 24.4 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Friday, October 2 at 7:21 AM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.