Should I Start Foster Moreau or Tez Johnson in Week 4?

Foster Moreau is projected for 2.6 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.0 and 3.8. This week he plays at TEN; the game total is 39.5 and his team is favored by 7.0. The number is built from live market data across 1 book, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 12.7 receiving yards (+1.3), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.7), 1.2 catches (+0.6). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 0.0 points and scored 7.7.

Tez Johnson is projected for 2.6 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.0 and 6.1. This week he plays at DAL; the game total is 47.5 and his team is a 8.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 13 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 11.5 receiving yards (+1.2), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.8), 1.1 catches (+0.6). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 0.1 points and scored 1.3.

It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 2.6 points this week against 2.6 for Tez Johnson. His chance of outscoring Tez Johnson is 46%. Their ranges overlap — Foster Moreau usually lands between 0.0 and 3.8, Tez Johnson between 0.0 and 6.1 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 5 at 7:31 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.