Should I Start Evan Engram or Jake Ferguson in Week 7?

Evan Engram is projected for 4.0 points. Most weeks he lands between 1.1 and 7.8. This week he plays vs KC; the game total is 41.0 and his team is a 1.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 19.9 receiving yards (+2.0), 2.0 catches (+1.0), 0.2 touchdowns (+1.0). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 3.9 points and scored 2.3.

Jake Ferguson is projected for 7.2 points. Most weeks he lands between 1.7 and 13.1. This week he plays vs ARI; the game total is 53.5 and his team is favored by 6.5. The number is built from live market data across 1 book, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 34.4 receiving yards (+3.4), 0.3 touchdowns (+2.0), 3.5 catches (+1.8). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 4.5 points and scored 2.3.

Jake Ferguson is the lean. He projects for 7.2 points this week against 4.0 for Evan Engram. His chance of outscoring Evan Engram is 71%. Their ranges overlap — Jake Ferguson usually lands between 1.7 and 13.1, Evan Engram between 1.1 and 7.8 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.