Should I Start Emmett Johnson or Marvin Mims Jr. in Week 7?

Emmett Johnson is projected for 3.7 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.6 and 6.6. This week he plays at DEN; the game total is 41.0 and his team is favored by 1.5. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 13.2 rushing yards (+1.3), 10.9 receiving yards (+1.1), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.7), 1.1 catches (+0.5). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 2.6 points and scored 3.4.

Marvin Mims Jr. is projected for 3.3 points. Most weeks he lands between 1.1 and 6.0. This week he plays vs KC; the game total is 41.0 and his team is a 1.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 16.5 receiving yards (+1.7), 1.6 catches (+0.8), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.7). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 1.7 points and scored 2.3.

It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 3.7 points this week against 3.3 for Marvin Mims Jr.. His chance of outscoring Marvin Mims Jr. is 50%. Their ranges overlap — Emmett Johnson usually lands between 0.6 and 6.6, Marvin Mims Jr. between 1.1 and 6.0 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.