Should I Start Elijah Arroyo or Luke Farrell in Week 4?

Elijah Arroyo is projected for 3.2 points. Most weeks he lands between 1.0 and 5.9. This week he plays vs SF; the game total is 47.0 and his team is favored by 3.0. The number is built from live market data across 10 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 17.4 receiving yards (+1.7), 1.7 catches (+0.8), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.6). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 0.0 points and scored 0.0.

Luke Farrell is projected for 1.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.0 and 1.6. This week he plays at SEA; the game total is 47.0 and his team is a 3.0-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 10 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 7.1 receiving yards (+0.7), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.4), 0.8 catches (+0.4). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 1.0 points and scored 0.0.

Elijah Arroyo is the slight lean. He projects for 3.2 points this week against 1.5 for Luke Farrell. His chance of outscoring Luke Farrell is 82%. Their ranges overlap — Elijah Arroyo usually lands between 1.0 and 5.9, Luke Farrell between 0.0 and 1.6 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 5 at 8:21 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.