Should I Start Eli Heidenreich or Kameron Johnson in Week 4?

Eli Heidenreich is projected for 0.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.1 and 0.9. This week he plays at CLE; the game total is 37.5 and his team is favored by 2.5. He is listed as out — check his status before kickoff. The number is built from live market data across 13 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 2.7 rushing yards (+0.3).

Kameron Johnson is projected for 0.4 points, 135th among wide receivers this week. Most weeks he lands between 0.0 and 0.9. This week he plays vs GB; the game total is 38.5 and his team is a 3.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 15 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 0.0 points and scored 0.0.

It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 0.5 points this week against 0.4 for Kameron Johnson. His chance of outscoring Kameron Johnson is 51%. Their ranges overlap — Eli Heidenreich usually lands between 0.1 and 0.9, Kameron Johnson between 0.0 and 0.9 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Friday, October 2 at 6:41 AM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.