Should I Start Drew Sample or Seth McGowan in Week 7?

Drew Sample is projected for 3.3 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.8 and 7.4. This week he plays vs TEN; the game total is 46.5 and his team is favored by 10.5. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 0.2 touchdowns (+1.3), 12.2 receiving yards (+1.2), 1.5 catches (+0.8).

Seth McGowan is projected for 3.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 0.3 and 7.4. This week he plays at JAX; the game total is 46.5 and his team is a 7.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 0.3 touchdowns (+1.5), 13.2 rushing yards (+1.3), 4.0 receiving yards (+0.4), 0.5 catches (+0.3). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 2.1 points and scored 2.7.

It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 3.5 points this week against 3.3 for Drew Sample. His chance of outscoring Drew Sample is 42%. Their ranges overlap — Seth McGowan usually lands between 0.3 and 7.4, Drew Sample between 0.8 and 7.4 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.