Should I Start Drake Maye or Matthew Stafford in Week 7?

Drake Maye is projected for 19.1 points. Most weeks he lands between 6.7 and 30.8. This week he plays at MIA; the game total is 44.5 and his team is favored by 7.5. The number is built from live market data across 8 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 240.7 passing yards (+9.6), 1.6 passing touchdowns (+6.5), 28.9 rushing yards (+2.9), 0.3 touchdowns (+1.7), 0.8 interceptions (−1.6). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 18.5 points and scored 23.8.

Matthew Stafford is projected for 15.1 points. Most weeks he lands between 5.0 and 25.4. This week he plays vs LAC; the game total is 44.0 and his team is favored by 6.5. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 265.6 passing yards (+10.6), 1.5 passing touchdowns (+6.0), 1.1 interceptions (−2.2), 4.4 rushing yards (+0.4). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 18.9 points and scored 16.9.

Drake Maye is the lean. He projects for 19.1 points this week against 15.1 for Matthew Stafford. His chance of outscoring Matthew Stafford is 62%. Their ranges overlap — Drake Maye usually lands between 6.7 and 30.8, Matthew Stafford between 5.0 and 25.4 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.