Should I Start Drake Maye or Kyler Murray in Week 7?

Drake Maye is projected for 19.1 points. Most weeks he lands between 6.7 and 30.8. This week he plays at MIA; the game total is 44.5 and his team is favored by 7.5. The number is built from live market data across 8 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 240.7 passing yards (+9.6), 1.6 passing touchdowns (+6.5), 28.9 rushing yards (+2.9), 0.3 touchdowns (+1.7), 0.8 interceptions (−1.6). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 18.5 points and scored 23.8.

Kyler Murray is projected for 16.6 points. Most weeks he lands between 6.6 and 26.5. This week he plays at DET; the game total is 46.0 and his team is a 3.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 217.9 passing yards (+8.7), 1.2 passing touchdowns (+4.7), 28.3 rushing yards (+2.8), 0.2 touchdowns (+1.1), 0.4 interceptions (−0.8).

Drake Maye is the lean. He projects for 19.1 points this week against 16.6 for Kyler Murray. His chance of outscoring Kyler Murray is 57%. Their ranges overlap — Drake Maye usually lands between 6.7 and 30.8, Kyler Murray between 6.6 and 26.5 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.