Should I Start Deshaun Watson or Marcus Mariota in Week 4?
Deshaun Watson is projected for 15.7 points. Most weeks he lands between 5.7 and 25.4. This week he plays at NYJ; the game total is 40.0 and his team is a 2.0-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 192.3 passing yards (+7.7), 1.4 passing touchdowns (+5.4), 0.3 touchdowns (+1.5), 14.8 rushing yards (+1.5), 0.2 interceptions (−0.4). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 14.5 points and scored 18.3.
Marcus Mariota is projected for 15.7 points. Most weeks he lands between 6.7 and 27.3. This week he plays vs IND. He is listed as out — check his status before kickoff. The number is built from live market data, in half-PPR scoring. How it adds up: 205.5 passing yards (+8.2), 1.3 passing touchdowns (+5.0), 26.5 rushing yards (+2.7), 0.7 interceptions (−1.4), 0.2 touchdowns (+1.2). Last week (Week 3) he was projected for 11.5 points and scored 20.4.
It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 15.7 points this week against 15.7 for Marcus Mariota. Their ranges overlap — Deshaun Watson usually lands between 5.7 and 25.4, Marcus Mariota between 6.7 and 27.3 — so either can win the week.
| Week 4 | Watson | Mariota |
|---|---|---|
| Projection | 15.7 | 15.7 |
| Floor · ceiling | 5.7 · 25.4 | 6.7 · 27.3 |
| Rank at position | — | — |
| Status | Healthy | Out |
Market data last pulled Monday, October 5 at 8:21 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.