Should I Start Deshaun Watson or Kyler Murray in Week 7?

Deshaun Watson is projected for 14.9 points. Most weeks he lands between 5.3 and 24.0. This week he plays at PIT; the game total is 39.5 and his team is a 3.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 201.6 passing yards (+8.1), 1.2 passing touchdowns (+4.8), 20.5 rushing yards (+2.0), 0.6 interceptions (−1.2), 0.2 touchdowns (+1.1). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 15.6 points and scored 9.5.

Kyler Murray is projected for 16.6 points. Most weeks he lands between 6.6 and 26.5. This week he plays at DET; the game total is 46.0 and his team is a 3.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 217.9 passing yards (+8.7), 1.2 passing touchdowns (+4.7), 28.3 rushing yards (+2.8), 0.2 touchdowns (+1.1), 0.4 interceptions (−0.8).

Kyler Murray is the slight lean. He projects for 16.6 points this week against 14.9 for Deshaun Watson. His chance of outscoring Deshaun Watson is 57%. Their ranges overlap — Kyler Murray usually lands between 6.6 and 26.5, Deshaun Watson between 5.3 and 24.0 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.