Should I Start Deshaun Watson or Joe Burrow in Week 7?

Deshaun Watson is projected for 14.9 points. Most weeks he lands between 5.3 and 24.0. This week he plays at PIT; the game total is 39.5 and his team is a 3.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 201.6 passing yards (+8.1), 1.2 passing touchdowns (+4.8), 20.5 rushing yards (+2.0), 0.6 interceptions (−1.2), 0.2 touchdowns (+1.1). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 15.6 points and scored 9.5.

Joe Burrow is projected for 19.8 points. Most weeks he lands between 7.4 and 30.9. This week he plays vs TEN; the game total is 46.5 and his team is favored by 10.5. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 266.6 passing yards (+10.7), 2.1 passing touchdowns (+8.2), 9.5 rushing yards (+0.9), 0.4 interceptions (−0.8), 0.1 touchdowns (+0.8).

Joe Burrow is the lean. He projects for 19.8 points this week against 14.9 for Deshaun Watson. His chance of outscoring Deshaun Watson is 66%. Their ranges overlap — Joe Burrow usually lands between 7.4 and 30.9, Deshaun Watson between 5.3 and 24.0 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.