Should I Start Derrick Henry or Jonathan Taylor in Week 7?

Derrick Henry is projected for 15.7 points. Most weeks he lands between 4.3 and 27.5. This week he plays at BUF; the game total is 53.5 and his team is a 3.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 8 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 78.5 rushing yards (+7.8), 1.1 touchdowns (+6.3), 9.0 receiving yards (+0.9), 1.2 catches (+0.6). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 14.0 points and scored 6.5.

Jonathan Taylor is projected for 15.8 points. Most weeks he lands between 4.6 and 25.9. This week he plays at JAX; the game total is 46.5 and his team is a 7.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 2 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 74.1 rushing yards (+7.4), 0.9 touchdowns (+5.5), 16.7 receiving yards (+1.7), 2.5 catches (+1.3). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 17.5 points and scored 22.1.

It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 15.8 points this week against 15.7 for Derrick Henry. His chance of outscoring Derrick Henry is 50%. Their ranges overlap — Jonathan Taylor usually lands between 4.6 and 25.9, Derrick Henry between 4.3 and 27.5 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.