Should I Start Derrick Henry or Jaylen Warren in Week 7?

Derrick Henry is projected for 15.7 points. Most weeks he lands between 4.3 and 27.5. This week he plays at BUF; the game total is 53.5 and his team is a 3.5-point underdog. The number is built from live market data across 8 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 78.5 rushing yards (+7.8), 1.1 touchdowns (+6.3), 9.0 receiving yards (+0.9), 1.2 catches (+0.6). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 14.0 points and scored 6.5.

Jaylen Warren is projected for 15.5 points. Most weeks he lands between 4.6 and 25.6. This week he plays vs CLE; the game total is 39.5 and his team is favored by 3.5. The number is built from live market data across 8 books, with the stats no book prices filled in from his role and Sleeper’s numbers, in half-PPR scoring, and has held steady since the lines opened. How it adds up: 68.4 rushing yards (+6.8), 0.8 touchdowns (+5.0), 22.2 receiving yards (+2.2), 2.8 catches (+1.4). Last week (Week 6) he was projected for 13.4 points and scored 8.8.

It is close to a coin flip. He projects for 15.7 points this week against 15.5 for Jaylen Warren. His chance of outscoring Jaylen Warren is 50%. Their ranges overlap — Derrick Henry usually lands between 4.3 and 27.5, Jaylen Warren between 4.6 and 25.6 — so either can win the week.

Market data last pulled Monday, October 26 at 8:40 PM PDT. Lines refresh every 15 minutes through kickoff.